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Paxman356

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Message Posted: May 1, 2009 1:16:11 PM

The purpose of this thread is to help predict the cost stations are paying in order to predict when a spike is eminent.

The fair price is calculated as such:

IR + (IR*.07) + ST + FT + IC + CO + FR

IR = Indiana Rack
IR*.07 = Indiana Sales Tax (7%)
ST = State Tax or 18c
FT = Federal Tax or 18.4c
IC = Inspection Charge or 1c
CO = Cost adjustment or 8c
FR = Freight cost or 5c

The daily high/low prices are an average of the 15 reported high/low prices on the IndyGasPrices.com website taken at the time of posting.

The Speedway high/low is taken from their website at time of posting.

Feel free to chime in whenever you see fit.
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 18, 2009 5:43:10 PM

Chicago spot: $1.9252 UP 0.0437
Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6388 ): $2.5640
Average Selling Price: $2.441
Margin over cost + profit: -$0.1230
USA Average: $2.619
Lowest/highest prices: $2.309 / $2.559
Speedway Low/High: $2.269 / $2.559
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.888 UP 0.0410
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7661 ): $2.654
Speedway Diesel Average: +$2.6501 Margin over cost: -$0.003
Chicago RBOB spot $2.015

We are approaching dangerous territory. A spike tomorrow is possible, but we usually don't see them on Wednesday. Keep an eye on Speedway in the morning, as the prices may go up.

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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 17, 2009 8:47:56 PM

Chicago spot: $1.8815 UP 0.0060
Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6357 ): $2.5172
Average Selling Price: $2.462
Margin over cost + profit: -$0.0552
USA Average: $2.623
Lowest/highest prices: $2.342 / $2.606
Speedway Low/High: $2.329 / $2.589
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.847 UP 0.0005
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7633 ): $2.610
Speedway Diesel Average: +$2.6501 Margin over cost: $0.040
Chicago RBOB spot $1.972

Prices went down over the weekend, but wholesale didn't. A spike tomorrow is possible, but I'm not 100% sure of it.

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dbgindy
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Message Posted: Aug 15, 2009 7:58:25 AM

As always thanks for the updates Pax!
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 14, 2009 6:08:19 PM

Chicago spot: $1.8755 DOWN 0.0712
Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6353 ): $2.5108
Average Selling Price: $2.516
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.0052
USA Average: $2.632
Lowest/highest prices: $2.428 / $2.644
Speedway Low/High: $2.419 / $2.599
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.846 DOWN 0.0568
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7632 ): $2.609
Speedway Diesel Average: +$2.6638 Margin over cost: $0.055
Chicago RBOB spot $1.986

Good look for the weekend as the Chicago spot fell 7c today.

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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 13, 2009 5:52:54 PM

Chicago spot: $1.9467 UP 0.0064
Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.5903 ): $2.5370
Average Selling Price: $2.535
Margin over cost + profit: -$0.0020
USA Average: $2.632
Lowest/highest prices: $2.459 / $2.649
Speedway Low/High: $2.439 / $2.599
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.903 UP 0.0182
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7672 ): $2.670
Speedway Diesel Average: +$2.6626 Margin over cost: -$0.007
Chicago RBOB spot $2.017

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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 12, 2009 5:49:21 PM

Chicago spot: $1.9403 DOWN 0.0469
Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.5898 ): $2.5301
Average Selling Price: $2.553
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.0229
USA Average: $2.630
Lowest/highest prices: $2.454 / $2.654
Speedway Low/High: $2.459 / $2.659
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.885 DOWN 0.0646
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7659 ): $2.651
Speedway Diesel Average: +$2.6640 Margin over cost: $0.013
Chicago RBOB spot $2.010

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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 11, 2009 5:34:09 PM

Chicago spot: $1.9872 UP 0.0023
Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.5931 ): $2.5803
Average Selling Price: $2.568
Margin over cost + profit: -$0.0123
USA Average: $2.624
Lowest/highest prices: $2.490 / $2.648
Speedway Low/High: $2.499 / $2.659
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.949 DOWN 0.0209
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7704 ): $2.720
Speedway Diesel Average: +$2.6642 Margin over cost: -$0.055
Chicago RBOB spot $2.057

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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 10, 2009 5:26:44 PM

Chicago spot: $1.9849 UP 0.0168
Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.5929 ): $2.5778
Average Selling Price: $2.579
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.0012
USA Average: $2.629
Lowest/highest prices: $2.489 / $2.651
Speedway Low/High: $2.499 / $2.659
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.970 UP 0.0179
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7719 ): $2.742
Speedway Diesel Average: +$2.6633 Margin over cost: -$0.079
Chicago RBOB spot $2.055

Bad news all around as gas has now evened out, and diesel is up. There isn't much cause for alarm, but there is the slightest possibility of a spike up.

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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 7, 2009 5:29:07 PM

Indy
Chicago spot: $1.9681 DOWN 0.0476
Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.5918 ): $2.5599
Average Selling Price: $2.631
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.0711
USA Average: $2.624
Lowest/highest prices: $2.556 / $2.662
Speedway Low/High: $2.419 / $2.659
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.952 DOWN 0.0145
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7707 ): $2.723
Speedway Diesel Average: +$2.6645 Margin over cost: -$0.058
Chicago RBOB spot $2.038

With me out of work, I'm trying to do a little work on this process when I can. As you can see, I have added a Speedway Diesel average. It is taken by adding all Speedway diesel prices in Indy, then averaging them out. Don't worry, I have an easy process that takes about a minute to do this, instead of the hour or so it would take to do it manually. I'm also trying to make this easier to read... but that's a work in process.

While we have refinery problems in the area, so far the Chicago market is tracking the NYMEX. It's something to keep an eye on, however.

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SE3.5
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Message Posted: Aug 7, 2009 8:39:49 AM

Sorry Pax. Maybe you could be gasbuddies "price predictor" (paid position) for multiple locations instead of just a volunteer at this location.
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 7, 2009 7:52:41 AM

Meh, I gotta stop getting hired by startup companies. This one was foreseeable.
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dbgindy
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Message Posted: Aug 7, 2009 4:22:01 AM

Pax- Sorry to hear about your job situation.....
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 6, 2009 5:13:25 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $2.0157 UP 0.0145
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.5951 ): $2.6108
Average Selling Price: $2.646
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.0352
USA Average: $2.615
Lowest/highest prices: $2.559 / $2.683
Speedway Low/High: $2.499 / $2.659
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.967 DOWN -0.008
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7717 ): $2.738
Chicago RBOB spot $2.086

Still no spike in the foreseeable future.

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[Edited by: Paxman356 at 8/6/2009 5:16:33 PM EST]
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 6, 2009 10:57:02 AM

>>>Pax, you should get a job as a weatherman. The accuracy of your predictions is WAAAY higher than theirs. <<<

Know of any good weatherman openings? I just got laid off today. :(
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DieselAmy
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Message Posted: Aug 6, 2009 9:52:46 AM

Thanks, Pax. I only have to fill every three to four weeks so I haven't paid as much attention, and don't need fuel for awhile. Easier to ride out spikes I guess. A good thing!
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dbgindy
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Message Posted: Aug 6, 2009 4:26:00 AM

Well put SE3.5
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 5, 2009 8:42:32 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $2.0012 DOWN -0.0158
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.5941 ): $2.5953
Average Selling Price: $2.651
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.0557
USA Average: $2.600
Lowest/highest prices: $2.556 / $2.670
Speedway Low/High: $2.599 / $2.659
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.974 UP 0.108
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7722 ): $2.747
Chicago RBOB spot $2.071

Diesel went up 10 cents today. Don't be surprised to see the price of that to go up in the next few days... Amy, fill 'er up!

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SE3.5
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Message Posted: Aug 5, 2009 9:03:07 AM

Pax, you should get a job as a weatherman. The accuracy of your predictions is WAAAY higher than theirs.
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 4, 2009 9:16:46 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $2.0170 DOWN -0.0223
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6452 ): $2.6620
Average Selling Price: $2.514
Margin over cost + profit: -$0.0030 (measured with spike price)
USA Average: $2.564
Lowest/highest prices: $2.396 / $2.674
Speedway Low/High: $2.499 / $2.659
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.866 DOWN -0.018
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7646 ): $2.631
Chicago RBOB spot $2.087
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 3, 2009 5:55:17 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $2.0393 UP 0.0442
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6468 ): $2.6861
Average Selling Price: $2.484
Margin over cost + profit: -$0.2021
USA Average: $2.541
Lowest/highest prices: $2.398 / $2.532
Speedway Low/High: $2.399 / $2.499
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.884 UP 0.081
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7659 ): $2.650
Chicago RBOB spot $2.109

If Speedway keeps the same formula for spikes I normally see them use, it will be near break even +10 cents, or $2.78. Michigan and NW Indiana will be above that, Indiana will be below. They may fall outside this formula, however, as there isn't much being bought on the Chicago market at the moment since everyone knows the markup is BS. Don't be surprised if there is a spike, but lower in the $2.70s for all.

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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Aug 3, 2009 5:51:51 AM

I foresee a price spike today or tomorrow if the futures don't fall today. Right now I have a break even of 2.64. Anytime the average is below the break even, a spike is near.
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Jul 31, 2009 5:44:01 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.9951 UP 0.0487
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6437 ): $2.6388
Average Selling Price: $2.430
Margin over cost + profit: -$0.1398 (measured with spike price)
USA Average: $2.511
Lowest/highest prices: $2.339 / $2.506
Speedway Low/High: $2.489 / $2.499
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.803 UP 0.055
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7602 ): $2.563
Chicago RBOB spot $2.065
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dbgindy
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Message Posted: Jul 31, 2009 4:29:44 AM

As always thanks for the heads up Pax!
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Jul 30, 2009 9:06:50 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.9464 UP 0.1613
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6402 ): $2.5866
Average Selling Price: $2.405
Margin over cost + profit: -$0.1816
USA Average: $2.507
Lowest/highest prices: $2.302 / $2.500
Speedway Low/High: $2.219 / $2.499
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.747 UP 0.082
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7563 ): $2.504
Chicago RBOB spot $1.986

I guess I was looking at the noon number earlier. The Chicago spot went up 16 cents today. That's bad news. A spike is very close at hand. I'm guessing if you don't get it in the morning, you'll wish you had by the afternoon in most places. Indiana will go up to $2.60-2.65. Michigan will climb about a nickel higher than that to $2.65-2.70. And good news for NW Indiana. You shouldn't be much higher than Michigan, maybe a cent or two instead of the 4 cents it has been, as the Chicago RBOB is only 4 cents over regular.

Again, fill up tonight, or very early tomorrow. Prices will go up.

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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Jul 30, 2009 6:50:23 PM

With the wholesale up almost 10 cents today, a spike tomorrow is very likely. I don't have time to do the numbers now, but I will get to it before the night is through.
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Jul 29, 2009 7:58:25 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.7851 -$0.0541
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6290 ): $2.4141
Average Selling Price: $2.419
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.0049
USA Average: $2.511
Lowest/highest prices: $2.287 / $2.504
Speedway Low/High: $2.219 / $2.499
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.666 -0.141
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7506 ): $2.416
Chicago RBOB spot $1.825
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Jul 28, 2009 7:53:41 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.8392 -$0.0388
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.5827 ): $2.4219
Average Selling Price: $2.431
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.0091
USA Average: $2.504
Lowest/highest prices: $2.302 / $2.504
Speedway Low/High: $2.219 / $2.499
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.807 - -0.034
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7605 ): $2.568
Chicago RBOB spot $1.879

Fortunately no spike, and the markets eased today. I have readjusted the fair price for Indiana and Indy by 5 cents from 7/20 on. With the rack price report from TheGasGame.com's Today-In-Oil page being much lower in Indianapolis than Chicago, this adjustment should make us closer to a "fair price."

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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Jul 27, 2009 6:02:27 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.8780 +$0.0221
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6355 ): $2.5135
Average Selling Price: $2.450
Margin over cost + profit: -$0.0635
USA Average: $2.497
Lowest/highest prices: $2.342 / $2.504
Speedway Low/High: $2.269 / $2.499
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.842 + 0.005
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7629 ): $2.605
Chicago RBOB spot $1.928

I hate times like this. I am 50-50 on whether we get a spike tomorrow. I'm torn between near break even margins (at least if you are looking at the fact that Indiana wholesale adjusted should be lower than the spot price by about 5-10 cents still) and the fact that we had two spikes last week. Margins do say spike, but history says patience. Do be prepared and find someplace cheap tonight or friendly/spike resistant tomorrow, because the numbers say we should go up. But we are so close it's too hard to tell.

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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Jul 26, 2009 10:25:23 AM

Indianapolis is holding steady at -2 cents margin. Indiana at -1 cent. Michigan is at +3 cents. With the rack price report on TheGasGame.com's Today in Oil page showing a 17 cent gap between Indy and Detroit last Monday, I think we will be safe to start the week without a spike. But watch here tomorrow for details on what might happen Tuesday, as a market jump may push us into another spike.
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Jul 24, 2009 6:32:53 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.8559 +$0.0027
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6339 ): $2.4898
Average Selling Price: $2.474
Margin over cost + profit: -$0.0158
USA Average: $2.483
Lowest/highest prices: $2.344 / $2.509
Speedway Low/High: $2.389 / $2.499
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.836 + 0.017
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7625 ): $2.633
Chicago RBOB spot $1.916
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Jul 23, 2009 5:29:59 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.8532 +$0.0549
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6337 ): $2.4869
Average Selling Price: $2.389
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.0121 (measured with spike price)
USA Average: $2.466
Lowest/highest prices: $2.323 / $2.476
Speedway Low/High: $2.499 / $2.499
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.819 + 0.051
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7614 ): $2.630
Chicago RBOB spot $1.933

The spike I felt could come, but probably wouldn't because the margins were too close and they don't usually spike twice in a week, came late today because of a surge in the Chicago spot and NYMEX's oil and RBOB. Even with this spike, the margins are thin, so keep an eye here for news on tomorrow's markets.

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kettledrum
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Message Posted: Jul 23, 2009 7:56:50 AM

Thanks...was just checking to see if you thought there could be a 2nd spike this week.
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Jul 22, 2009 8:42:10 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.7983 +$0.0338
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6299 ): $2.4282
Average Selling Price: $2.391
Margin over cost + profit: -$0.0372
USA Average: $2.463
Lowest/highest prices: $2.309 / $2.404
Speedway Low/High: $2.349 / $2.399
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.769 + 0.041
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7578 ): $2.566
Chicago RBOB spot $1.878

The numbers suggest (with Indiana at -3 cents margin and Michigan holding on at 1.8 cents margin) a spike is possible tomorrow. History shows, however, that two spikes in a week are really rare. With margins this close to break even, that makes the likelihood that a spike will happen to be very low.

If you need a fill up and can get gas below $2.30, you may wish to do so tonight as spike insurance. But like all insurance, you may not cash in on it.

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SE3.5
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Message Posted: Jul 22, 2009 8:32:04 AM

It gave! Thanks for the continual advance warnings, Pax. You have saved me quite a few bucks since you started this thread.
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Jul 21, 2009 6:28:07 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.7645 +$0.0151
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6275 ): $2.3920
Average Selling Price: $2.305
Margin over cost + profit: -$0.0870
USA Average: $2.455
Lowest/highest prices: $2.104 / $2.410
Speedway Low/High: $2.309 / $2.399
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.727 0.008
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7549 ): $2.542
Chicago RBOB spot $1.845
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SE3.5
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Message Posted: Jul 21, 2009 8:08:25 AM

Wow, the spread between "fair" and "average" is getting bigger. Something has to give.
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Jul 20, 2009 5:36:41 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.7494 +$0.0245
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6265 ): $2.3759
Average Selling Price: $2.234
Margin over cost + profit: -$0.1419
USA Average: $2.457
Lowest/highest prices: $2.120 / $2.341
Speedway Low/High: $2.089 / $2.449
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.719 + 0.053
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7544 ): $2.521
Chicago RBOB spot $1.829

It's not looking good for tomorrow. There are many factors pointing toward a spike for tomorrow. Yeah, the margins are at a negative (-6.29 cents in Indiana and Michigan at -1.64 cents). But that's not all. History shows that after a period of dropping, Speedway has a hair trigger when it comes to the merging of the average price and the spot price. Strangely, the low end also moved up in Indiana and Michigan.

I thought looking at the rack prices from TheGasGame.com's Today In Oil page and seeing Indianapolis' rack 9 cents power than Chicago's that it could influence whether a spike would happen. But with Indy's margin in the negative by 5 cents more than that, it doesn't help.

Nope, Indiana and Michigan will see a spike tomorrow. I expect Indiana to fall in the $2.40-2.45 range, and Michigan to fall around $2.45-$2.50. NW Indiana will see their prices rise to the $2.50-2.55 range.

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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Jul 20, 2009 1:26:08 PM

Midday report:

Chicago spot: $1.7216 (-0.67c)
Fair Price: $2.346

Judging by the Indiana average (Indy is skewed due to a lower rack price by 5-10c) we could see a spike to $2.42-2.47 tomorrow if this spot price holds.
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Paxman356
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Message Posted: Jul 17, 2009 9:42:15 PM

You are welcome DBG, and to all.

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.7249 +$0.0514
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6247 ): $2.3496
Average Selling Price: $2.288
Margin over cost + profit: -$0.0616
USA Average: $2.471
Lowest/highest prices: $2.160 / $2.467
Speedway Low/High: $2.149 / $2.469
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.666 0.044
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7506 ): $2.491
Chicago RBOB spot $1.805

While our margins look bad compared to the Chicago spot, I have it on good authority that Indy's rack prices are lower than that by 5-10 cents. Indiana's margin is almost break even, and Michigan's is almost 6 cents. We look good for the weekend.

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dbgindy
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Message Posted: Jul 17, 2009 4:18:27 AM

As always thanks for your efforts & insight Pax.
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Paxman356
Champion Author Indianapolis

Posts:6,858
Points:452,100
Joined:Feb 2003
Message Posted: Jul 16, 2009 9:13:29 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.6735 -$0.0271
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6211 ): $2.2946
Average Selling Price: $2.318
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.0234
USA Average: $2.476
Lowest/highest prices: $2.202 / $2.477
Speedway Low/High: $2.149 / $2.499
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.622 0.007
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7475 ): $2.436
Chicago RBOB spot $1.754

While the Indianapolis margin is low, Indiana and Michigan are still near 10 cents, so we are safe for the weekend on spikes.

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Paxman356
Champion Author Indianapolis

Posts:6,858
Points:452,100
Joined:Feb 2003
Message Posted: Jul 15, 2009 6:30:37 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.7006 +$0.0540
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6230 ): $2.3236
Average Selling Price: $2.346
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.0224
USA Average: $2.491
Lowest/highest prices: $2.232 / $2.502
Speedway Low/High: $2.219 / $2.499
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.615 0.063
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7470 ): $2.433
Chicago RBOB spot $1.781

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Paxman356
Champion Author Indianapolis

Posts:6,858
Points:452,100
Joined:Feb 2003
Message Posted: Jul 14, 2009 6:05:00 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.6466 -$0.0103
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6193 ): $2.2659
Average Selling Price: $2.376
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.1101
USA Average: $2.503
Lowest/highest prices: $2.258 / $2.552
Speedway Low/High: $2.229 / $2.599
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.552 0.021
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7426 ): $2.357
Chicago RBOB spot $1.727

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Paxman356
Champion Author Indianapolis

Posts:6,858
Points:452,100
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Message Posted: Jul 14, 2009 1:44:14 PM

Midday report:

Chicago spot: $1.6407 (-1.62c)
Fair Price: $2.260
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SE3.5
Champion Author Indianapolis

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Message Posted: Jul 14, 2009 8:21:25 AM

Keep up the good work Pax.
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Paxman356
Champion Author Indianapolis

Posts:6,858
Points:452,100
Joined:Feb 2003
Message Posted: Jul 13, 2009 5:47:56 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.6569 -$0.0136
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6200 ): $2.2769
Average Selling Price: $2.402
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.1251
USA Average: $2.515
Lowest/highest prices: $2.292 / $2.592
Speedway Low/High: $2.259 / $2.599
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.531 -0.027
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7412 ): $2.343
Chicago RBOB spot $1.737

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Paxman356
Champion Author Indianapolis

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Points:452,100
Joined:Feb 2003
Message Posted: Jul 13, 2009 12:58:24 PM

Midday report:

Chicago spot: $1.642 (-2.85c)
Fair Price: $2.261
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Paxman356
Champion Author Indianapolis

Posts:6,858
Points:452,100
Joined:Feb 2003
Message Posted: Jul 10, 2009 6:33:02 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.6705 -$0.0183
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6209 ): $2.2914
Average Selling Price: $2.469
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.1776
USA Average: $2.544
Lowest/highest prices: $2.359 / $2.590
Speedway Low/High: $2.359 / $2.599
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.559 -0.001
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7431 ): $2.361
Chicago RBOB spot $1.756

Average gas prices are down almost 20 cents since Thursday of last week (the beginning of the 4th weekend.) Wholesale on the other hand is down almost 30 cents in the same amount of time. Prices should continue to fall over the weekend.

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[Edited by: Paxman356 at 7/10/2009 6:33:43 PM EST]
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Paxman356
Champion Author Indianapolis

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Points:452,100
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Message Posted: Jul 10, 2009 2:20:50 PM

Midday report:

Chicago spot: $1.6569 (-3.19c)
Fair Price: $2.277

[Edited by: Paxman356 at 7/10/2009 2:24:36 PM EST]
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Paxman356
Champion Author Indianapolis

Posts:6,858
Points:452,100
Joined:Feb 2003
Message Posted: Jul 9, 2009 6:14:05 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.6720 -$0.0057
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6210 ): $2.2930
Average Selling Price: $2.494
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.2010
USA Average: $2.556
Lowest/highest prices: $2.388 / $2.614
Speedway Low/High: $2.389 / $2.659
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.552 -0.011
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7426 ): $2.294
Chicago RBOB spot $1.753

Prices are still going down, but not as fast as I would wish. Wholesale did not go down much in light trading. Diesel also was stagnant.

Speaking of diesel, I am now posting the low sulfur diesel fair price.

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Paxman356
Champion Author Indianapolis

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Points:452,100
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Message Posted: Jul 9, 2009 1:56:47 PM

Midday report:

Chicago spot: $1.672 (-0.13c)
Fair Price: $2.293
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Paxman356
Champion Author Indianapolis

Posts:6,858
Points:452,100
Joined:Feb 2003
Message Posted: Jul 8, 2009 6:33:50 PM

Today's Chicago spot price: $1.6777 -$0.0976
Today's Fair Price (Chi. Spot +$0.6214 ): $2.2992
Average Selling Price: $2.529
Margin over cost + profit: +$0.2298
USA Average: $2.572
Lowest/highest prices: $2.427 / $2.634
Speedway Low/High: $2.409 / $2.659
Low Sulfur Diesel Spot: $1.563 -0.068
LS Diesel Fair Price (LSDS +$0.7434 ): $2.306
Chicago RBOB spot $1.753

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